Recent successes at the Golden Globes for actors like Wagner Moura and Jessie Buckley, as well as the film "Hamnet," have influenced the upcoming Oscars race. The Golden Globes, despite having a smaller voting body compared to the Oscars, can significantly impact the awards season through increased visibility and momentum for nominees.
The Globes' system of separating major awards into drama and musical/comedy categories frequently narrows the Oscar competition into specific head-to-head contests. An example of this was two years prior, when Lily Gladstone's drama win and Emma Stone's comedy win led to Stone securing her second Oscar.
Best Actress Race
Jessie Buckley, who was considered an Oscar frontrunner for her role in "Hamnet," solidified her position by winning the Golden Globe in the drama category. Rose Byrne has emerged as a key competitor, securing the Golden Globe in the musical/comedy category for her performance in "If I Had Legs I'd Kick You." Byrne's wins at other events, including the Berlin Film Festival and with the New York and Los Angeles critics groups, also contribute to her strong candidacy.
Best Actor Race
Timothée Chalamet was initially viewed as the Oscar favorite for his role in "Marty Supreme" and reinforced this perception with a Golden Globe win in the comedy category. However, Wagner Moura has become a significant contender after winning the Golden Globe in the drama category for his performance in the film "The Secret Agent," surpassing Michael B. Jordan. Moura's win specifically elevates his profile in the Oscar competition.