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France vs. Sweden: World Cup Round of 32 Match Preview

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France Faces Sweden in World Cup Round of 32 Clash

France is heavily favored to advance, but Sweden enters with nothing to lose.

France is scheduled to face Sweden in the FIFA World Cup 2026 Round of 32 on Tuesday, June 30, at 5:00 p.m. ET (21:00 GMT). The match will be held at New York/New Jersey Stadium in East Rutherford, New Jersey, USA.

Group Stage Performance

France

France finished first in Group I with a perfect record of three wins:

  • Defeated Senegal 3-1
  • Defeated Iraq 3-0
  • Defeated Norway 4-1

France was one of three teams (alongside Mexico and Argentina) to win all group stage matches. Goal scorers for France in the group stage: Kylian Mbappe (4), Ousmane Dembele (4), Bradley Barcola (1), Desire Doue (1). Michael Olise recorded three assists.

Sweden

Sweden advanced as one of the best third-placed teams from Group F with 4 points (1 win, 1 draw, 1 loss):

  • Defeated Tunisia 5-1
  • Lost to Netherlands 5-1
  • Drew 1-1 with Japan

Goal scorers for Sweden in the group stage: Anthony Elanga (2), Yasin Ayari (2), Alexander Isak (1), Viktor Gyokeres (1), Mattias Svanberg (1). Isak recorded three assists; Gyokeres recorded two.

Head-to-Head Record

According to official records, France and Sweden have met 24 times in total. France has won 12 matches, Sweden has won 6, and 5 matches ended in draws. Their only previous tournament meeting was at UEFA Euro 2012, where Sweden won 2-0. Their most recent match was a 4-2 France win in a 2020 UEFA Nations League fixture.

Team News

France:

  • N'Golo Kante is doubtful due to physical discomfort.
  • Marcus Thuram is out with a calf injury.
  • William Saliba is expected to return to the starting lineup at central defence after resting against Norway due to back pain.

Sweden:

  • Isak Hien is unavailable due to a hamstring injury.

Predicted Lineups

France (4-2-3-1 formation): Maignan (GK); Kounde, Upamecano, Saliba, Digne; Kone, Tchouameni; Dembele, Olise, Doue; Mbappe.

Sweden (3-4-2-1 formation): Nordfeldt (GK); Lagerbielke, Lindelof, Gudmundsson; Bernhardsson, Karlstrom, Ayari, Stroud; Elanga, Isak; Gyokeres.

Coach and Player Statements

  • France coach Didier Deschamps stated that Sweden has "nothing to lose" and emphasized the need for humility and concentration.
  • Sweden coach Graham Potter stated that Sweden must be "as close to perfect" to beat France.
  • Sweden defender Victor Lindelof called the match "our World Cup adventure that’s at stake" and noted that many players have limited World Cup experience.

Betting Odds and Predictions

According to published betting information:

France is a overwhelming favorite with a -380 moneyline.

  • To Advance: France -950, Sweden +610
  • Moneyline: France -380, Sweden +1000, Draw +500
  • Total: Over 3.5 goals (+124), Under 3.5 goals (-152)

According to Opta statistical analysis:

  • Probability of France winning in regulation: 75.1%
  • Probability of Sweden winning in regulation: 9.5%
  • Probability of extra time or penalties: 15.4%
  • France has a 22.85% chance of winning the 2026 World Cup.

Broadcast Information

  • France: beIN SPORTS 1 (11pm CET)
  • Sweden: TV4, TV4 Play (11pm CET)
  • United Kingdom: ITVX, ITV1 (10pm BST)
  • United States: FOX, Telemundo, Peacock (5pm EDT)

Next Match

The winner of this match will face Paraguay in the round of 16.